T
THE KEELEDOVER KID
Guest
I'm in the UK so it's kind of hard to gauge just how serious this swine flu thing actually is. I mean, the media is acting like the sky is falling, but that's pretty much how they are about everything, and the press has already cried wolf about anthrax, SARS and bird flu in the past decade so I'll more or less be skeptical until people start keeling over around me. A couple thoughts:
1. From Wikipedia,
What? If there are no confirmed cases in Norway, where is the Norwegian government getting these "worst-case scenario" numbers? The "worst-case scenario" death toll worldwide is 120 million people, according to the papers here. The numbers so far are around 1,200 confirmed infections with 103 confirmed deaths. That's about an eight percent death toll so far, so 120 million deaths would require at least a sixth of the world to be infected based on these numbers. Where are they getting these projections from? Are they actually based on testing and research or is there just some guy in a white lab coat pulling numbers out of his ass somewhere? Maybe they have one of those computer programs like in "The Thing."
2. We really need to be more careful about naming these things. If I died of the bubonic plague, I really don't think I'd mind it all that much. That's a cool word, "bubonic." It sounds ominous, it sounds like something that can kill you. We're all gonna feel really stupid if we get wiped out by something called "swine flu."
1. From Wikipedia,
On April 27, one person in Haugesund, Norway was being tested for swine flu, after returning from a vacation in Houston, Texas,[127] where there are no suspected cases of swine flu. Two people in their thirties are also tested for flu-like symptoms in Tromso after vacationing in Mexico [128]
The Norwegian government projects that in the worst case, 1.2 million Norwegians may fall ill and 13,000 may die.[129]
What? If there are no confirmed cases in Norway, where is the Norwegian government getting these "worst-case scenario" numbers? The "worst-case scenario" death toll worldwide is 120 million people, according to the papers here. The numbers so far are around 1,200 confirmed infections with 103 confirmed deaths. That's about an eight percent death toll so far, so 120 million deaths would require at least a sixth of the world to be infected based on these numbers. Where are they getting these projections from? Are they actually based on testing and research or is there just some guy in a white lab coat pulling numbers out of his ass somewhere? Maybe they have one of those computer programs like in "The Thing."
2. We really need to be more careful about naming these things. If I died of the bubonic plague, I really don't think I'd mind it all that much. That's a cool word, "bubonic." It sounds ominous, it sounds like something that can kill you. We're all gonna feel really stupid if we get wiped out by something called "swine flu."