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2024 Election
- Thread starter Epic Springs
- Start date
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Joe Lieberman dying threw a wrench in No Labels plans.
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Trump declines to endorse a national abortion ban and says it should be left to the states
Former President Donald Trump has declined to endorse a national abortion ban and says he believes abortion should be left to the states.
apnews.com
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Nikki Haley getting 147,000 votes in the Pennsylvania primary, almost two months after she dropped out of the race, seems like a bad sign for Trump.
Trump won the 2016 general election against Hilary in PA by 68,000 votes in 2016 FWIW.
Trump won the 2016 general election against Hilary in PA by 68,000 votes in 2016 FWIW.
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Lazgistics Supervisor
Making dumb observations since 2002
The WA GOP put it in writing that they’re not into democracy
Some Republicans have been defensive that the party has a strong anti-democratic bent. But the state GOP convention embraced it, writes columnist Danny Westneat.
www.seattletimes.com
Gist:
Washington GOP members are openly calling for their constituents to get rid of democracy.
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Trump VP contender Kristi Noem writes of killing dog – and goat – in new book | Books | The Guardian
South Dakota governor includes bloody tale in campaign volume – and admits ‘a better politician … wouldn’t tell the story here’
amp.theguardian.com
Gary
I'll do a drive by to Andre 3000s flute album
Exclusive: RFK Jr. Campaign Operative Charged With Assault For Allegedly Choking, Punching Woman
A political operative on Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign was charged with assault after allegedly choking and punching a woman in New York.
www.mediaite.com
Whenever I hear about this campaign in a manner that doesn’t have him being an idiot, it’s either incompetence or something worse
Gary
I'll do a drive by to Andre 3000s flute album
Incandenza
Integral Poster
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Mr. Spacey, the other day you didn't deny the allegations you were masturbating to Saving Private Ryan. Care to comment?
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Path to victory for Trump isn’t going to be as easy as a lot of pundits are expecting if Haley is winning 20% in Indiana.
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
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This is NOT breaking news or a hot take. I was in a small city outside of Green Bay toy hunting this AM and passed a house with about 8 Trump signs on their smallish lawn. Plus 3 or 4 Trump banners on their house. My favorite was the banner that said "ELECTION INTERFERENCE" with Trump's mug shot on the side.
I bet he has a true grasp on the nuances of the issues and court cases and totally isn't just spending his days listening to Mark Levin and Sean Hannity all afternoon like my brother does.
My brother sends me almost daily anti-Biden videos, and I never reply. I send him history and family stuff and don't bother punching back.
I bet he has a true grasp on the nuances of the issues and court cases and totally isn't just spending his days listening to Mark Levin and Sean Hannity all afternoon like my brother does.
My brother sends me almost daily anti-Biden videos, and I never reply. I send him history and family stuff and don't bother punching back.
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Biden and Trump agree on debates in June and September, but working out details could be challenging
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have agreed to hold two campaign debates in June and September, but there are no guarantees they'll happen as their camps are far apart on key details.
apnews.com
King Kamala
Integral Poster
That aged poorly quickly. Looks like Biden and Trump (but not RFK Jr) will debate on June 27th on CNN and September 10th on ABC.
Mickey Massuco
wipeoff
Trump has a lead in all battleground states and some are significant. I’m not saying this election is a sure thing but it would take a miracle for Biden to win at this point.
King Kamala
Integral Poster
Mitt Romney was leading Obama at this point in 2012. Polls don’t mean diddly squat at this point. If they matter much at all.
I don't think polls are really something to be following closely until the last couple of months before an election. I glanced at 538 and it has the average of polling difference at like .7 nationally. I do think this is going to be a close election.
Mickey Massuco
wipeoff
It’s not just the polls (too much to go into there) but I’ll just say that liberal governments in North America have become unpopular over the last four years with the way people have perceived their handling of pandemic responses, housing and inflation. If you can’t see that or don’t notice it in your day to day, you may get too much of your political info in a bubble.
news.gallup.com
No president with an approval rating lower than 40% has ever won reelection, Biden is in the high 30s right now. What is gonna change to make that go higher when the economy is prepared to hit a recession, housing issues won’t magically be solved in the next six months and his responses to Israel/Palestine make him look weak willed to people all over the political spectrum? It will probably go lower and I’m almost 100% he will lose.
Some people here don’t like hearing opposing opinions on this topic (I seem to invite sarcasm and downvotes from the same people every time) but I think it’s healthy to get a different perspective and I’d be more than happy for someone else to have a different perspective that puts doubt in mine. but I can’t deny what I see in the gumbo.
Presidential Job Approval Related to Reelection Historically
Presidential job approval ratings have historically been a reliable predictor of reelection for presidents, as all those with ratings of 48% or higher have won a second term.
news.gallup.com
No president with an approval rating lower than 40% has ever won reelection, Biden is in the high 30s right now. What is gonna change to make that go higher when the economy is prepared to hit a recession, housing issues won’t magically be solved in the next six months and his responses to Israel/Palestine make him look weak willed to people all over the political spectrum? It will probably go lower and I’m almost 100% he will lose.
Some people here don’t like hearing opposing opinions on this topic (I seem to invite sarcasm and downvotes from the same people every time) but I think it’s healthy to get a different perspective and I’d be more than happy for someone else to have a different perspective that puts doubt in mine. but I can’t deny what I see in the gumbo.
Sex Machine Gun
Kotzenjunge
I'll only contest that a recession has been forecast for a long time now and keeps not happening.
King Kamala
Integral Poster
I don’t have blinders on. It’s obvious that Biden’s chances of losing are very strong. It’s way too early to make definitive calls about what is going to happen. There is so much that can happen in the next five and a half months.
I don't know if we are going to see another US President who averages a 50 percent approval rating. Obama's average was an overall 48, 49 in his first term, 47 in his second. Trump was 41. Despite how unpopular Trump was (and Biden as a candidate was) we should remember that both of them got historic turnouts during COVID. I'm not sure that approval ratings still translates to voter turnouts anymore. What really matters is how much you hate the other side.
It feels like North America is more divided between right and left than it has been since the early cold war. I can't even have a conversation with some of the conservatives I know because they're talking about how left wingers are all pedophiles. Everyone is so deep in their shit.
Thank goodness I know I'm the one sane person. That's why I support RFK.
It feels like North America is more divided between right and left than it has been since the early cold war. I can't even have a conversation with some of the conservatives I know because they're talking about how left wingers are all pedophiles. Everyone is so deep in their shit.
Thank goodness I know I'm the one sane person. That's why I support RFK.
Mickey Massuco
wipeoff
It’s not the average, it’s what their approval is at the end of term, which is why I used Biden’s current number.
I agree that things are divided.
Re: what Kotz said, that is true and I thought about that while making my post. With that being said, things aren’t “good” for the average person and being in a state where you’re constantly worried about a recession usually means the economy isn’t that healthy. Also:
More Americans trust Trump on economy, inflation than Biden: Poll
More Americans say they trust former President Trump on the economy and inflation than they do President Biden, a new poll found. The ABC News/Ipsos poll found that economy and inflation were among…
thehill.com
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Starting to get some key state rulings regarding election ability coming out now...
arkansasadvocate.com
"The four acts now going into effect create a stricter signature-matching process for mail-in ballots, shorter deadlines to turn in absentee ballots, require voters who cast a provisional ballot to provide a photo ID within six days of the election and ban anyone except voters from coming within 100 feet of a polling place, including campaigners and volunteers.
“I think that’s what everyone in Arkansas has to ask themselves… Why? Why are these efforts to limit voting in any way?” State Rep. Tippi Mccullough (D-Little Rock) said. “We have the poorest turnout in any state in the country.”
www.nbcnews.com
"Seeming to accept of the possibility that drop boxes will be back in Wisconsin this fall further signals that some Republicans have increasingly emphasized the importance of early and absentee voting.
While Trump’s repeated attacks on absentee voting have made it tougher for Republicans who see a desperate need to encourage more ways to cast ballots, Trump himself has begun softening his stance. In recent weeks, he has posted on Truth Social about how “absentee voting, early voting and election day voting are all good options,” urging Republican voters to “make a plan, register and vote!”
Arkansas Supreme Court overturns ruling challenging state election laws • Arkansas Advocate
The Arkansas Supreme Court on Thursday reversed a lower court’s ruling and dismissed a lawsuit challenging the constitutionality of four election-related laws approved by the state Legislature in 2021.
arkansasadvocate.com
"The four acts now going into effect create a stricter signature-matching process for mail-in ballots, shorter deadlines to turn in absentee ballots, require voters who cast a provisional ballot to provide a photo ID within six days of the election and ban anyone except voters from coming within 100 feet of a polling place, including campaigners and volunteers.
“I think that’s what everyone in Arkansas has to ask themselves… Why? Why are these efforts to limit voting in any way?” State Rep. Tippi Mccullough (D-Little Rock) said. “We have the poorest turnout in any state in the country.”
Wisconsin Republicans change their tune on ballot drop boxes ahead of state Supreme Court ruling
Republicans in the key battleground state say they'll be prepared to encourage their voters to use ballot drop boxes this fall if the court reinstates their use.
www.nbcnews.com
"Seeming to accept of the possibility that drop boxes will be back in Wisconsin this fall further signals that some Republicans have increasingly emphasized the importance of early and absentee voting.
While Trump’s repeated attacks on absentee voting have made it tougher for Republicans who see a desperate need to encourage more ways to cast ballots, Trump himself has begun softening his stance. In recent weeks, he has posted on Truth Social about how “absentee voting, early voting and election day voting are all good options,” urging Republican voters to “make a plan, register and vote!”
Fuck millions, I'd just like to have my classroom properly supplied for a year and not have to pay for lunches during state testing dates..
King Kamala
Integral Poster
In a surprise, Minnesota Republicans back Royce White to run against Amy Klobuchar
The former basketball star-turned-activist was introduced by former Trump adviser Steve Bannon.