2020 Election

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Amy Klobuchar is dropping out and will endorse Joe Biden.

 

[Tino Standard]

Annnnnnnnd now Amy is out.

Going to be a ton of pressure on Warren to drop out next, because it seems pretty clear that the centrist half of the party is consolidating quickly.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

these voters are just going to split between bloomberg and biden. Some of them will come over to Bernie too because voters are totally unpredictable.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

I like Liz. My head says that she is the best candidate for President but if she really is a progressive, she'll really do what's best and endorse Bernie ASAP.

But I also don't know if Liz is most socially aware person so I could totally see her kneecapping Bern Dawg.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

She was clearly wingman-ing him in the last debate. There's almost zero chance of her endorsing anyone else unless they do something like make her VP. Given that half these people might die of Corona Virus I'd be tempted to do it then too...

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

We start with the most diverse field of candidates ever and now...
https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1234567156433670146

:-\

Mayo Pete is going to endorse Biden too.

 

[909]

Biden is much better than the two trash who just dropped out. Pretty sure only Bernie or Biden could even win an election.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

I'm not sharing the same doom and gloom as my fellow Bernie Bros.

First off, Bernard is probably going to win at least like two thirds of the states tomorrow. Second, we haven't even gotten to the Rust Belt (and even after tomorrow are still only halfway through the primaries). I think Bernard can and hopefully will still win. Biden's campaign is still strapped for cash.

2nd, while I vastly prefer Bernie, Biden isn't worst case scenario. I'm happy with anyone that isn't Bloomer and can beat Trump.

 

[geniusMoment]

Problem for Bernie is he's going to have to dominate in terms of delegates. If it's close I think the party still picks Biden at the convention. And even before all the moderates dropped out and endorsed Joe I think SC showed that Biden's probably winning big in the same belt Clinton dominated. The whole southern part, from Florida through Texas will probably all be wins for Joe.

I still think Bernie has a shot, but he needs to decimate Biden in the entire northern half of the country.

 

[Precious Roy]

Sanders is currently polling ahead of Biden in Texas. He's killing him with latinos

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Bernie has 30-40 field offices in Texas while Biden hadn't been there in a month before today. I'm not saying BernDawg is a sure thing to win Texas but he has at least a 50/50 chance.


Florida and the Tri-States are what's going to swing the election, I think. Still have a long way to go and I don't think we'll know anymore at the end of tomorrow night than we know now barring something weird.

 

[bigolsmitty]

Sanders is currently polling ahead of Biden in Texas. He's killing him with latinos

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/tx/texas_democratic_primary-6875.html

yikes

 

[bigolsmitty]

Biden's the favorite on 538 model now :-[

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

https://twitter.com/colinmeloy/status/1234895536815165440
I like Liz Warren but her stans melting down the past week or two on Twitter has been fun to watch. Like unironically bragging about how Liz takes the stairs is something Biden would brag about.

 

[Precious Roy]

I'd been going back and forth on my vote up til today but I'm now OFFICIALLY A BERNIE BRO!!!

(I voted for him in the 2016 primary too)

 

[Precious Roy]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/03/politics/super-tuesday-exit-polls/index.html

Sounds like good news for Biden

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

I think vast majority of boomer Democrats are waiting until day or two before (day of) election to see which moderate has best shot at taking down Trump

COMPLETELY ANECDOTAL EVIDENCE: I visited my aunt & uncle in Northern Virginia 3 weeks ago. They're both center/center-left folks and I can assure they had absolutely no idea who they were voting for. At that point, they were very reluctantly "Well. I guess we might have to vote for Bloomberg?" Tbh, Mom and Pops Kamala (also centrists) were in same boat though I think they might've voted for Mayor Pete if he hadn't dropped out.

Not a fan of either but I think media kind of is underrating impact of Mayor Pete and Amy's duel endorsement for Uncle Joe.

Most Boomer Democrats (There are a few exceptions) are so scarred by Mondale, McGovern, and Dukakis getting mollywhopped that they always think the safe option is always the best option.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

It looks like Bloomberg is going to finish 4th in Virginia, where he spent $18 million. Ya hate to see it. ;D ;D ;D

 

[Precious Roy]

Bernie is up 7% in TX with 20% reporting, not sure what precincts are in though and it doesn't account for early voting which I figure will favor Sanders

MA is neck and neck between Sanders and Warren with 5% in

 

[Precious Roy]

Biden up in MA now with 11% reporting

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/3/3/1924096/-Breaking-Tulsi-Gabbard-loses-American-Samoa-to-Mike-Bloomberg-49-to-29

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Damn. Did not expect Biden to be neck and neck with Bern Dawg in Massachusetts and Maine.

I'm honestly shocked Uncle Joe mollywhopped Bernard in Virginia. I really thought that was gonna be competitive.

Turnout was 2.5x higher than normal for a Presidential primary here in Maine.

 

[Precious Roy]

seems pretty clear that a combined fear of Trump and fear of "the unknown" (Sanders) is driving voters to Biden. Can't say I'm shocked

I'm afraid of electing someone in clear mental decline, but maybe that's just me

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Well. I mean it wouldn't be the first President that we've had that is sundowning in the past 40 years. Or past five years.

 

[KingPK]

Warren's pretty much done if she can only finish 3rd in Mass.

Can't wait for Bloomberg to hang a "American Samoa Primary 2020" banner next season.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Biden's speech started out with him getting his wife and sister confused.

Is every major politician going to be into incest now?

 

[geniusMoment]

Bloomberg reportedly reassessing his campaign. Sounds like he's done. If he's out I think those votes will also go to Biden. At this point I think Biden has to be the clear front runner.

 

[Precious Roy]

Bloomberg reportedly reassessing his campaign. Sounds like he's done. If he's out I think those votes will also go to Biden. At this point I think Biden has to be the clear front runner.

Yeah, Biden's the front runner now And Bloomberg will probably throw $$ behind attacking Bernie now.

What a shock that it takes everyone ganging up on the true WE THE PEOPLE candidate to beat him

Fuck the DNC. Fuck billionaires buying elections. And seriously FUCK THEM because I think they're backing the wrong horse

I seriously hope in 2021 I'm not saying, "don't blame me, I voted for Bernie"

 

[909]

Everyone was asking those candidates to drop out, so I don't really wanna hear that

 

[909]

Also, relying on 20 year olds to go vote in a primary for a party all of his surrogates shit on is a fundamentally stupid strategy and while I support Bernie despite that, the chickens are coming home to roost on this one. Seeking out the endorsements of people like Marianne Williamson is genuinely foolish and this kind of thing is very frustrating. His policies are better for the country but the way his campaign is run is awful. This is two times now.

 

[Big Papa Paegan]

It's also two times where he's mobilized younger folks into campaigning and then had the entire establishment shove him down and away.

Which means 4 more years of Trump because Biden is a laughable asshole and a 1v1 debate will just be Trump dropping soundbites and smears. "Blue no matter who" doesn't work with undecided centrists who don't stand much to gain or lose this year.