Oh sorry 538 has 50 Kamala 49 times Trump lol. Really going out on the ledge there.
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2024 Election
- Thread starter Fall of Epic
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I think the sheer amount of women voting for Kamala, the Republicans voting for Kamala who are fed up with Trump, and the men who secretly will vote for Kamala will end up making this closer to the Obama/Romney election than the 2020 IMO.
There's also a big piece being underrepresented: "Voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New York and South Dakota are weighing in on abortion." That's 4 swing states where women will definitely be turning out in higher numbers just to make sure abortion is legal. All it takes IMO is even 1/3rd (very very conservative) of them going for Kamala to possibly swing those states blues.
There's also a big piece being underrepresented: "Voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New York and South Dakota are weighing in on abortion." That's 4 swing states where women will definitely be turning out in higher numbers just to make sure abortion is legal. All it takes IMO is even 1/3rd (very very conservative) of them going for Kamala to possibly swing those states blues.
snuffbox
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I would caution against using crowd size as a metric for election day. Yes, it can illustrate important aspects like energy, momentum, etc. But in the two prior presidential elections Trump did have large crowds (and some have been large this cycle) and still lost the popular votes each time. On the eve of the 2004 election John Kerry drew 80,000 people to a rally in Madison and lost.
So, it's a thing but not much more useful than the least useful polls.
The first midnight votes were split 3-3. That was the case in 2012 so maybe (hopefully) Harley's prediction will come true.
So, it's a thing but not much more useful than the least useful polls.
The first midnight votes were split 3-3. That was the case in 2012 so maybe (hopefully) Harley's prediction will come true.
BruiserBrody
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Big Papa Paegan
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I initially misread this and went "yeah, I can see that."
BruiserBrody
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Swerve...it's the Hitler Youth voting for Trump
Fall of Epic
Epic Reine
Twitter is INSANE with the Pro-Trump bias. Only tweets from people voting about Trump in my feed and only Trump hastags are trending. Elon really putting in the work to ensure his boy is elected.
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Are you accidentally on the "For You" tab? It's been oops all Nazis for a while now.
If signature verification shit ever becomes a big thing I am fucked. I literally will leave out entire letters sometimes. My signature verification is that no person on earth can possibly replicate my insanity.
edit: yes I knew how to spell my name! I just suck at handwriting.
edit: yes I knew how to spell my name! I just suck at handwriting.
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
That's literally one of the things I was taught as a kid and learning cursive. Make your letter legible, but your signature inimitable.
Anyhoo...I voted. I was actually surprised at how the Harris/Walz camp just outside the polling place was twice the size of the Trump/Vance camp, and there were more signs for local office than the POTUS.
This is also the first time since 2008 where I voted Dem, also the first time since I turned 18 where I wasn't legally registered in a state that was destined to go blue. My vote actually mattered beyond state referendums this time.
Gary
Mind. Body. Light. Sound.
Voted earlier today (would've voted earlier this week, but the lines were murder around then)
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What? Trump's winning TN by nearly a million votes.
Big Papa Paegan
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Solid point.
BruiserBrody
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Demi Moore on the U.S. Election: ‘America Is Built on Puritans, Religious Fanatics and Criminals’
While in Paris to receive a tribute at the French Cinematheque, Demi Moore said 'America is built on Puritans, religious fanatics and criminals.'
variety.com
Demi knew
BruiserBrody
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Ope.
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
People are dumb, people are scum, and when directly told "a vote for Trump is a vote against your daughters" they sold their little girls out.
I'm not going to dog on Harris. Her and Walz were the most invigorating Dem ticket since 2012. The DNC needs to see this wakeup call, though, and start building up new blood.
I'm not going to dog on Harris. Her and Walz were the most invigorating Dem ticket since 2012. The DNC needs to see this wakeup call, though, and start building up new blood.
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
Like...what in the absolute FUCK, man? Does most of the country WANT to see a repeat of the COVID bullshit? Do they WANT to see higher prices for everything?
"It'll bring then jobs back home"
NO. IT WON'T. IT NEVER HAS. THIS ISN'T 1955 ANYMORE, THAT WORLD IS GONE.
I won't be at all surprised if allegations of fraud turn out to be fruitful, but I'm not hedging my bets on it.
"It'll bring then jobs back home"
NO. IT WON'T. IT NEVER HAS. THIS ISN'T 1955 ANYMORE, THAT WORLD IS GONE.
I won't be at all surprised if allegations of fraud turn out to be fruitful, but I'm not hedging my bets on it.
I hate being right but did you all learn nothing from 2016?
Fair warning to @Fall of Epic if he starts the 2028 thread tomorrow I'll probably go nuts.
Fall of Epic
Epic Reine
I'll wait a week.
BruiserBrody
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It was a moment that encapsulated one of the biggest challenges facing her campaign – which, in the end, proved insurmountable.
“What, if anything, would you have done something differently than President Biden during the past four years?” co-host of ABC’s “The View” Sunny Hostin asked Harris, looking to give her a set for her to spike over the net.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/trump-wins-election
“There is not a thing that comes to mind,” she said.
BruiserBrody
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Pelosi makes it sound like Biden only endorsed Kamala to get back at the party for pushing him out. Great gambit, President Biden!
BruiserBrody
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Cut wood with my MAGA brother today. Didn't expose my libtard ways. His wife informed me that she's apolitical and my brother spent Tuesday pouting in the garage because she refused to go vote for Trump with him. LOL or SAD.