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2016 Election Thread (ROUND FIVE!)

Who is going to win the election


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HarleyQuinn

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Lord of The Curry said:
For those without cable what sites will this be streamed on?

http://gizmodo.com/how-to-stream-tonights-presidential-debate-for-free-no-1786948623
 

cobainwasmurdered

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The other day I saw some talking head spokesman try to say Trump is impressive because he doesn't spaz on babies anymore. They're trying to set the bar really low for his debate performance. They just want him to look "ready to lead" aka not a total nutjob.
 

KOAB

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The way Trump and the media have built this up almost makes me think they're ready to declare him the winner tonight if he simply makes this an entertaining event.
 

909

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Bored said:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

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Welp.

That site has turned into clickbait bullshit. They put that out there in the morning and then by the end of the day...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Chance of winning

Hillary Clinton 54.8% Donald Trump 45.2%

I usually go here: http://election.princeton.edu/

Personally I think Silver's psyche has been broken by being wrong about Trump, and that he's been extrapolating things from data or automatically discounting it when he shouldn't. Even though the data said Trump would win and he just ignored that.
 

cobainwasmurdered

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I felt like Silver lost interest after 2012 and mostly wanted to focus on other stuff and does the elections now because it's bread and butter. he'd probably rather talk about baseball and other stat nerd shit.
 

BigD

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I heard some dude on the radio today who has been using true/false questions based on the current presidency to predict the outcomes since the early 1980s. His formula has not yet been wrong. It predicts Trump. Election over.
 

Edwin

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I hope the rest of the country thinks this is as much of an ass kicking as I do.
 
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I don't think anyone's mind has changed. The same people that love Trump will still love him for being an asshole and talking over people.
 

909

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I think there are a fair amount of people supporting both that were on the fence and tonight might have altered or confirmed their opinions.
 

still fly

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Trump was Trump, but man Hilary has the charisma of an ant. Her performance with was cringeworthy at some points.
 

snuffbox

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According to Matt Drudge and his swag-er-meter, Trump won this debate 92.11% to 7.89%.
 

ViciousFish

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I know it's a weird platform, but Hilary came off really well on my Twitter feed. Lots of videos of sound bites.
 

909

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If even Rudy G is posting something like that, I don't know how anyone could come back from that.
 

snuffbox

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Rudy must have been listening on the radio. Missed Donald Trump's charisma. So much charisma. The most. I didnt say looks I said stamina. No stamin. uh. What was (weird night-long snorting noise) I talking about? Emails.
 

Mr. S£im Citrus

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donald trump: I didn't say that

the internet:

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The likes and re-tweets, god damn...
 

snuffbox

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Maybe the most one-sided debate I've ever seen. Live or videotape. But I'm not really sure there's anything that would sway a Trump supporter; it really is something close to worship with him.

In a wildly publicly spoken aloud way, Trump did keep a kind of decorum re: Hillary's experiences with a loved one's adultery. The tease toward the end was weird and, probably, ineffective attempt at self-serving.

Trump's gun control comments would have destroyed any other Republican's base support. I'm not sure it will matter to a percentage point of them, though.

Did Trump realize it would be a split screen for most of the telecast? And that microphones pick up pronounced snorting noises?
 

909

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I feel like the media set Trump up just to be presidential this one time and they were going to push him as far as they could, but he couldn't even do that. Right now they're killing him.
 

Cackling Co Pilot Kamala

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http://jezebel.com/howard-dean-just-accused-donald-trump-of-being-on-cocai-1787117523?utm_campaign=socialflow_jezebel_facebook&utm_source=jezebel_facebook&utm_medium=socialflow
 

snuffbox

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Did Trump ever make fun of Marco Rubio for drinking water?
 

Edwin

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It won't sway any of Trump's supporters, but Clinton was stellar. Some of her jokes fell flat and she meandered a bit, but that's the kind of dominant performance that could pull Johnson and Stein voters into her camp, and pump up enthusiasm and turn out among lazy Dems. That's what she needs.

Trump didn't defend himself against any of the racist stuff except to say that he "settled out of court with no admission of guilt," on the issue of housing discrimination against black people, which is just insane. That was his most stunning failure.

He also insinuated that he didn't pay taxes and evaded the issue of his returns despite being offered a zillion opportunities to deal with it. He acted like a loon and waded in the birther stuff. He interrupted and demeaned her constantly. He became flustered and incoherent whenever pressed on any question. He didn't present any plans for anything, even simple ones that would appeal to low information voters. It was the first time in the whole campaign that someone was able to push him for an extended period of time, and he absolutely crumbled. I came.
 

909

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CNN won't stop talking about the birtherism. The burial job is on.
 

snuffbox

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Clinton also smiled a lot. Reince Priebius probably didn't.
 

cobainwasmurdered

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When he said no one felt any sympathy for the shit he said to rosie, i was like wtf. The shit about hillary fighting isis her entire adult life. so much other shit. He was an embarrassment.
 

Damaramu

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Of course I go to a conservatives facebook and what are they saying?

"Trump was wearing an American flag pin and Hillary wasn't! It's the little things that count people!"
 
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