2016 Election Thread (ROUND FIVE!)

[still fly]

If Georgia goes blue, I'll eat my hat

 

[909]

http://www.wsj.com/articles/new-poll-finds-close-race-in-georgia-1478206826?mod=e2tw

Mr. Trump leads Mrs. Clinton by a single point among likely voters in Georgia, 45% to 44%, the poll there found. He leads in Arizona, 45% to 40%, and Texas, 49% to 40%, according to the surveys.

All three polls were conducted on Sunday through Tuesday, after the FBI announced Friday that it had found and was reviewing additional emails that could be material to its investigation of Mrs. Clinton’s private email server.

 

[still fly]

I mean being on the ground here, I see very little enthusiasm for Hilary Clinton and I live in blue Fulton County. The Latino population isn't significant enough to make a difference and who knows about the black vote. The state is still 60 percent white.

Plus with the wikileaks bombshells, I can see the Trump supporters outside of Atlanta being charged up.

 

[909]

60% white is the right mixture for a state to go blue now. Also, I read that part of it is because Jill Stein isn't on the ballot there.

 

[still fly]

http://www.wsj.com/articles/new-poll-finds-close-race-in-georgia-1478206826?mod=e2tw

Mr. Trump leads Mrs. Clinton by a single point among likely voters in Georgia, 45% to 44%, the poll there found. He leads in Arizona, 45% to 40%, and Texas, 49% to 40%, according to the surveys.

All three polls were conducted on Sunday through Tuesday, after the FBI announced Friday that it had found and was reviewing additional emails that could be material to its investigation of Mrs. Clinton’s private email server.

That's one poll though that seems like an outlier to be honest.

Hilary will probably win with around 279 electoral votes. People hate Hilary as much as they hate Trump.

I don't see this election being a wave election like 2008 was. The next president will have a hard time in 2020 getting reelected.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

I'm not saying you guys aren't right, but there's a clear downward trend in the far-right column wrt Hillary, and a lot of the switches of those states are going in the red direction.

He needs 90 of 132 tossup votes. While a lot, there's a path there.

I'm just reading the STATS

Thank god for cali and NUUU YOOORK

 

[still fly]

60% white is the right mixture for a state to go blue now. Also, I read that part of it is because Jill Stein isn't on the ballot there.

Maybe for a one off election. These red states are still very culturally conservative.

 

[909]

The RCP average is garbage. They throw every poll in there regardless of the sample. Some of these have less latinos voting now than in 2012. There is no way.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

Trump does a lot worse than Romney in some important states, but he usually still has a cushion. Hillary is doing worse than Obama too.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election,_2016

this one though paints an even bleaker picture jesus

 

[909]

Anyone wanna sig bet me that Hillary gets to 300 EV's? She gets less, you get it for a year.

All of the data out there is not equal in quality and the early voting tells a tale that polls do not.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

The other thing affecting black voter turnout right now is the ridiculous voter suppression tactics in places like North Carolina. If your state legislature gets away with closing 90% of early voting locations from 2012 while purging thousands of blacks from registration, turnout is going to drop, period. It's insidious.

It's unfathomable that this stuff isn't given more press, or that more people don't highlight how big a deal this is. It's basically two-tiered voting in modern times, the GOP is still using the Southern Strategy. They can't distance themselves too much from Donald Trump.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

 

[BUTT]

You're trying hard to lose my vote, libcucks

 

[still fly]

Embarrassing

 

[bigolsmitty]

We need a map prediction thread.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

http://www.vox.com/2016/11/4/13521796/tim-kaine-charles-hirschhorn

I knew I was right to defend this guy. Contrast this with what Ted Cruz's roommate said about him.

 

[Brooklyn Zoo]

Cool read

Lol @ the doo rag collection

 

[SFH]

Hillary sign spotted in my neighborhood. Not surprised at the house displaying it, just surprised they actually have the balls. Granted they're old as shit and probably don't care. They live across the street from a polling place so a lot of local politicians frequently are over there kissing ass for some yard sign real estate.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2016/11/04/obama-defends-man-with-trump-sign-at-clinton-rally-in-nc.html?via=desktop&source=copyurl
Stuff like this is why I'm gonna miss Obama.

 

[BruiserBrody]

http://www.coasttocoastam.com/article/mystic-chinese-monkey-predicts-trump-victory

Well it's all over.

 

[geniusMoment]

I actually think today was somewhat promising. The slide seems to have basically stopped for Clinton over the past 2 days. I doubt anymore bombshells drop. And if the last FBI report from Comey didn't drop her below Trump I think she's basically locked in at around 4 points ahead of him. Barring something extreme I don't see the next 3 days changing anything. And Clinton should win.

All that is assuming the polls are accurate.

 

[still fly]

The amount of undecided voters should worry people. It's extremely hard for a party to win three presidential terms in a row. I lived in a bubble in a deep blue state. People do not like them direction our country is going in. Trump winning wouldn't be shocking.

 

[SFH]

Just realized the polls will be closing around the same time I'll be at work with a major Trump supporter. As in, can't comprehend a reality where anyone would ever have a different opinion than her on anything. This gets amped up to 11 on politics, apparently. She basically had a tailgate party for one of the debates and was hooping and hollering during the broadcast, ala sporting event.

Bleh.

 

[BruiserBrody]

The "assassination" attempt this afternoon has the crazies all wound up. Hillary was behind it, Trump returned to the stage and proved his strength, etc etc

 

[HarleyQuinn]

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/05/politics/trump-rushed-off-stage-at-campaign-rally/index.html

After he was released from custody, Crites told reporters the incident started off when he raised a "Republicans Against Trump" sign.

Crites said he was then assaulted by a group of people around him before anyone shouted anything about a gun.

"All of a sudden, because they couldn't grab the sign, or whatever happened, bam, I get tackled by all these people who were just, like, kicking me and grabbing me in the crotch and just, just beating the crap out of me," Crites said, according to KTNV. "And somebody yells something about a gun, and so that's when things really got out of hand."

 

[ViciousFish]

Why would the Trump team be worried about a gun? I thought open carry made all of us safer.

 

[BruiserBrody]

ABC news is all but declaring Hillary as our new overlord.

200K more latinos have already voted in Florida than did in the entire 2012 election.

Trump is declaring Nevada as rigged because they kept the polls open late due to lines.

 

[snuffbox]

Why would the Trump team be worried about a gun? I thought open carry made all of us safer.

Guns only turn certain people into Charles Bronson. Others turn into terrorist thug gangmember socialist liberal communists.

 

[geniusMoment]

Between the early voting, and the just released NBC poll which has Clinton up 4 I'm feeling much better about things. I actually think the media these last two weeks have done everything in their power to make this race seem closer than it actually is.