Thought this was interesting... Arizona was 6% Republican lean, Georgia was a 2% Republican lean, NC was 2% Democratic Lean, Nevada was a 3% Democrat lean, and Wisconsin was 3% Republican lean. Polls were March 2024 with Biden vs. October with Kamala for perspective.
"The poll’s margin of error for each state was plus or minus 5 percentage points. In each of the swing states, 600 registered voters were surveyed between Sept. 28 and Oct. 8, and the poll included third-party candidates in states where they will be on the ballot."
- Arizona went from 5% Trump to 2% Kamala
- Georgia went from 3% Trump to 1% Kamala
- Michigan went from 2% Trump to 2% Kamala
- North Carolina went from 6% Trump(!) to 1% Trump
- Nevada went from 4% Trump to 5% Trump
- Pennsylvania went from 3% Trump to 1% Trump
- Wisconsin went from 3% Biden to 1% Kamala
The undecideds went from 9-10% down to 5-6% but I think most of them know who they are voting for and didn't want to admit it.