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An interesting read throughout between two pollsters about the polls/their thoughts in general on the race.
Chat! culturecrossfire.slack.com
2024 Election
- Thread starter Fall of Epic
- Start date
Mickey Massuco
wipeoff
The guy who predicted 9 of the last 10 elections correctly (only one he missed was Gore/Bush, which I’m still not sure Gore should have lost that one anyway) has picked Kamala. Seems like a sure bet now to me. I trust the system of the KEYS
Harris/Walz doing the podcast tour now including Walz appearing on Smartless and Harris on Call Her Daddy is a logical and proper move from the campaign to where voters actually are.
Also not to leave middle aged white men standing in the corner, Harris will appear on Stern and Walz on Kimmel.
Also not to leave middle aged white men standing in the corner, Harris will appear on Stern and Walz on Kimmel.
Gary
Mind. Body. Light. Sound.
still doing a racism
Gary
Mind. Body. Light. Sound.
“Wow Kamala, that’s great! Wanna try the sybian?”
Fall of Epic
Epic Reine
Hilary went on Stern right after the 2016 election and got good reviews from swing voters who said they would have voted for her if she did his show before the election because for the first time in her campaign, she came off as down to earth and relatable. Kamala is seeing that and getting ahead of it.
Need Walz on Hot Ones, stat.
Incandenza
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Loving all this polyamory
BUTT
Kreese
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Nice of her to lean into the right-wing attack on her as a blowjob giver.
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
Supreme Court rules against Republicans in election case against Biden
This case marks another loss for Republican efforts to challenge voter laws and procedures.
www.newsweek.com
BruiserBrody
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I blame Snuffy.
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Just posting this because MA has been getting AD NAUSEAM stuff related to the Craig/Ayotte race up in New Hampshire
New Hampshire is now the only state gubernatorial race ranked a toss-up. According to recent polls from University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm, the two candidates running for the office being vacated by Republican Gov. Chris Sununu are neck and neck.
NH's Ayotte vs. Craig is closest governor's race in US.: Experts explain why it matters
New Hampshire governor’s race is now the most competitive in the country. Here's how it could help Joyce Craig and Kelly Ayotte.
www.seacoastonline.com
New Hampshire is now the only state gubernatorial race ranked a toss-up. According to recent polls from University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm, the two candidates running for the office being vacated by Republican Gov. Chris Sununu are neck and neck.
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
That's a real shit sandwich there. Ayotte is a flip-flopper that falls in with the rank and file after building a career as a moderate voice, and Craig was mayor of one of the shittiest fucking cities in the entire Northeast.
BruiserBrody
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BruiserBrody
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Private Bone Spurs is attacking the LGBTQ members of the military using a fake Hollywood movie.
Trump also refused a foxnews debate offer for late October. Either he's totally confident he's going to win or he's afraid of doing anything but his set routine. Which could it be?
BruiserBrody
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There's nothing in the polls to force Trump into making another unforced error like "debating" (if that's what we call what that was). The swing states have been sliding in his direction no matter what nonsense he says.
Harris isn't helping herself by saying things like "I wouldn't change a thing" when asked about the Biden years in charge. They seem to be struggling to convey the increased drilling production to the masses as well as despite records of production being set, the polling is still showing people very unhappy with "muh gas prices!"
Trump's floating around 48-49 percent in Wisco in various polls, with Harris getting 48 pretty much every poll. Sen Baldwin is up several points over Millionaire Banker Hovde, which sets us up for another Ron Johnson style upset win as the hillbillies carry Wisco and the nation backwards.
nypost.com
Dems are at like 70 percent of the PA early voting, up from 2020 numbers - which is encouraging.
Harris isn't helping herself by saying things like "I wouldn't change a thing" when asked about the Biden years in charge. They seem to be struggling to convey the increased drilling production to the masses as well as despite records of production being set, the polling is still showing people very unhappy with "muh gas prices!"
Trump's floating around 48-49 percent in Wisco in various polls, with Harris getting 48 pretty much every poll. Sen Baldwin is up several points over Millionaire Banker Hovde, which sets us up for another Ron Johnson style upset win as the hillbillies carry Wisco and the nation backwards.
Rural voters in Wisconsin could swing state in Trump’s favor â despite Democrat-leaning cities: poll
Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes are poised to be decided by voters outside major cities like Madison and Milwaukee.
nypost.com
Dems are at like 70 percent of the PA early voting, up from 2020 numbers - which is encouraging.
". We haven’t had a former president running again. We haven’t had a campaign with two assassination attempts. "
both of these are false.
both of these are false.
BruiserBrody
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Worse rambling than usual. Not so much funny as it is meandering.
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Pretty much this. Both are still deadlocked or outright neck-and-neck in multiple states across the country and nationally in general. Trump has 0 incentive to engage in another debate with Harris when he can pander to his market and still hit the swing states to chip away at the leads Harris does have.
BruiserBrody
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Good lead for D's at governor. Trump is still neck and neck for the big prize.
Fall of Epic
Epic Reine
Kamala is having the CNN Town Hall regardless if Trump shows up or not. If Trump bails, he looks weak by backing down from her and Harris will certainly use that time to bash him while also explaining her policy. I don't think his ego will allow that to happen so I can see him agreeing to another debate "out of the goodness of his heart" and seeing him ramble on once again about nonsense.
Right now 538 has Harris winning Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, PA, and Trump winning Georgia, NC, and Arizona. If Harris can hold on to PA and Michigan than she just has to win any state other than NV whereas Trump would need every state but NV.
An open question is how Hurricane Helene is going to effect voting in some states as well. a lot of the worst devastation in NC is in deep red areas. They're trying to improve access to early voting there but how effective is that going to be? https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/20...-trump-harris-plans-north-carolina-rcna174828 Other states like Georgia are refusing to extend voter registration deadlines. They seem to think that's going to help the GOP but who knows if that's true.
All of the pollsters are hedging a ton if you look at their methodology. None of them (except the clearly partisans ones) want to commit to saying one side has a clear advantage. That way whoever wins they can say their data was right. None of them want a 2016.
An open question is how Hurricane Helene is going to effect voting in some states as well. a lot of the worst devastation in NC is in deep red areas. They're trying to improve access to early voting there but how effective is that going to be? https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/20...-trump-harris-plans-north-carolina-rcna174828 Other states like Georgia are refusing to extend voter registration deadlines. They seem to think that's going to help the GOP but who knows if that's true.
All of the pollsters are hedging a ton if you look at their methodology. None of them (except the clearly partisans ones) want to commit to saying one side has a clear advantage. That way whoever wins they can say their data was right. None of them want a 2016.