The 2024 Box Office thread

[HarleyQuinn]

It doesn't help that it's becoming increasingly obvious to see which ones feel like they are made by people who really do care about the movie at hand ("Guardians 3" and "Across the Spiderverse") and which ones feel more like a corporate mandate (this movie, "Quantumania"). "The Flash" (which looks dreadful IMO) in particular seems guilty of this-everything I've read about and seen of this movie looks like it was made by AI.

Everything I've heard about The Flash has been that it's a mediocre movie with unfinished looking/bad CGI at points. That word of mouth is why I'm waiting for it to hit streaming instead and waiting to spend my money on other future movies that will be worth the ticket price.

 

[Hawk 34]

The discourse surrounding the releases of MI, Barbie and Oppenheimer and the battle for premium screens is far more interesting than pretty much all of the mainstream offerings we’ve gotten this summer.

 

[strummer]

"No Hard Feelings" is getting great early reviews with Jennifer Lawrence being praised. Will this be the first raunchy comedy to be a hit in forever(or comedy in general)?

It was supposed to be released on the 16th but delayed to the 23rd.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Somewhat pretty poor 3-Day weekend overall as The Flash underperformed expectations making just $55.1 Million while Elemental opened to just $29.5 Million, barely beating out Spider-Man's $27.8 Million.

 

[Brocklock]

The Flash opened to less money than Black Adam. I wasnt expecting that.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1670634702074511360

Congratulations @Incandenza

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

2 of the top 3 grossing movies this year are comic book movies. Of the last 3 comic book movies to come out 2 were big hits. DC is really the only one struggling if you look at the numbers and hopefully James Gunn will turn that around. Marvel is underperforming and could be facing some real trouble but at least at the moment comic book movies are still dominant.

There's really no chance comic book movies will ever go away. They've been popular going back to the Keaton Batman. The range of what you can adapt has only gotten bigger. Capeshit is only the tip of the iceberg.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

Something is Killing the Children, Vol. 1

When children begin to go missing in the town of Archer…

www.goodreads.com

This is one of the best comics I've read in a long time and you don't need a huge budget to adapt it into a fun series of horror movies. More stuff like this please.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

2 of the top 3 grossing movies this year are comic book movies. Of the last 3 comic book movies to come out 2 were big hits. DC is really the only one struggling if you look at the numbers and hopefully James Gunn will turn that around. Marvel is underperforming and could be facing some real trouble but at least at the moment comic book movies are still dominant.

There's really no chance comic book movies will ever go away. They've been popular going back to the Keaton Batman. The range of what you can adapt has only gotten bigger. Capeshit is only the tip of the iceberg.

Those comic book movie "bombs" are also still making money that other directors (maybe outside Spielberg or Cameron) would sell their souls for. The only reason they aren't seen as bigger successes are due to their budgets. Slap $100 Million on The Flash instead of $200 and it's a different headline and story.

Let's look at Martin Scorsese's recent work adjusted for inflation in Domestic Box Office
The Wolf of Wall Street (2013) = $131.612 Million ($100 Million Budget)
Shutter Island (2010) = $148.780 Million ($80 Million Budget)
The Departed (2006) = $184.530 Million ($90 Million Budget)
The Aviator (2004) = $148.243 Million ($110 Million Budget)
Gangs of New York (2002) = $120.918 Million ($97 Million Budget)
Casino (1995) = $89.298 Million ($52 Million Budget)

Scorsese is a fantastic director and I really like a lot of his movies. He may see MCU/Comic Book movies as carnival ride experiences but I'm sure he would also be the first one to tell you that he'd love it if a movie of his made over $200 Million domestically.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

(that was not actually a Martin Scorsese quote, folks)

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

are you sure?

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

As of right now, Martin Scorsese is NOT POTUS but if me and Inc can get out the vote next fall…

 

[Incandenza]

I wrote-in voted for him in 2020

 

[RedJed]

So Flash was everything that the rumors suggested in terms of the effects. There was parts where the CGI was really noticably terrible, specifically in odd flashback within multiverse clusterfuck scenes. Apparently according to filmmakers, this was intentional? Then in other scenes, the effects were spectacular and well done. So it was weird.

There was just WAY too much stuff going on here and I got my hopes up about Keaton's Batman role in this. It really came off strangely disjointed and off. Then again I had high expectations. Diddo on Supergirl. Just not developed enough.

And the second coming of Barry in this film (playing a younger version of the character) was so very annoying and ridiculous.

All that said, I still enjoyed it more than other DC films in recent memory. I think I liked it better than Black Adam, Shazam 2, and most certainly Joss-stice League. The IMAX factor probably helped this as well. The pace was the strong point of the film, as it ironically flashed by.

 

[Brocklock]

Wow, based on weekend estimates The Flash could end up with one of the biggest drops in recent memory and finish behind Spiderverse, Elemental, and No Hard Feelings. It only made 4 million on Friday which is a 81% drop from last Friday. I wasn't expecting it to be a bomb on the level of Morbius and John Carter.

Audiences are straight up rejecting this movie and I imagine a lot of it is Ezra.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Wow, based on weekend estimates The Flash could end up with one of the biggest drops in recent memory and finish behind Spiderverse, Elemental, and No Hard Feelings. It only made 4 million on Friday which is a 81% drop from last Friday. I wasn't expecting it to be a bomb on the level of Morbius and John Carter.

Audiences are straight up rejecting this movie and I imagine a lot of it is Ezra.

Worth noting that The Flash finished a full $1 Million lower than Elemental despite being in 200+ more theaters.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Looking like Elemental is getting decent word of mouth to keep it sustained for the #2 spot this weekend. Very curious how Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken does next weekend as its head-to-head competition, especially with the cast it has (Lana Condor as Ruby, Toni Collette as Ruby's Mom, and Annie Murphy as antagonist, Chelsea, coming off her fantastic performance in Black Mirror).

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

I watched Flash and it was better than non-Batman DC stuff generally but still not good. If you took Flash out of The Flash it would have been a lot better honestly. Miller's role was mostly to be comedic relief in his own movie (other than the saving his mom drama) and none of the humor worked at all. I just found him exhausting. Keaton was good and I'd be into a old man Batman movie but this probably killed any chance of that.

The CGI was abysmal. The comedy and CGI in this made Marvel look like the big leagues honestly. I wasn't bothered by them showing Christopher Reeves as far as it being disrespectful or whatever because it looked so goofy.

Spoiler

The Nick Cage fighting spiders as superman was a really silly choice for the other dimension since its supposed to be a serious moment and it just takes you out of it. I know it's a inside reference but come on.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Gonna be an interesting battle in July...

Indiana Jones & The Dial of Destiny comes out 6/30; Insidious: The Red Door comes out on 7/7 and those movies usually have a pretty devoted following in a sparse horror landscape; Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 drops 7/12 and should do monster numbers; then you have Barbie and Oppenheimer both coming out 7/21 with Barbie courting certain demographics and Nolan having his fandom that could make Oppenheimer a big movie, finally you have Disney's Haunted Mansion on 7/28 so parents and kids will have options towards the end of the month.

 

[RedJed]

I will say this much about this summer's lineups.....each week has a pretty significant drop that keeps the theaters rotating out other lesser known films out pretty quickly with all of these tentpole drops. Some strong indy films are unfortunately getting lost in the shuffle.

Out of everything in July, I think Oppenheimer is my most anticipated one....bummed that its looking like the closest 70mm IMAX style screen will be in Chicago. I feel like to do that one justice I need to see it in that format.

There's been alot of promotion for the last Insidious but I wonder if that will draw much as every sequel IIRC has not performed as well as the previous.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny made $7.2 Million in previews. For comparison... also proof that previews don't necessarily prove a high/low opening weekend or box office run overall. Most previews tend to be 10-16% of the opening weekend share conservatively.

My weekend predictions for Indiana Jones = $68-$80 Million and Ruby Gilman ($725K in previews) = $7-$11 Million. Worth noting that both movies are scoring at a solid 3.9/5 and 4.2/5 respectively for All Audience and around 80%+ on RT so that could boost their opening weekends higher.

Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 3 = $17.50 - $118.414 OW
Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania - $17.50 - $106.109 OW
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse = $17.35 - $120.663 OW
The Little Mermaid = $10.30 - $95.578 OW
The Flash = $9.70 - $55.043 OW
John Wick: Chapter 4 = $8.90 - $73.817 OW
Transformers: Rise of the Beasts = $8.80 - $61.045 OW
Fast X = $7.50 - $67.017 OW
Scream VI = $5.70 - $44.447 OW
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves = $5.60 - $37.205 OW
Creed III = $5.45 - $58.370 OW
Shazam! Fury of the Gods = $3.40 - $30.111 OW
Jesus Revolution = $3.30 - $15.882 OW
M3GAN = $2.75 - $30.429 OW
Evil Dead Rise = $2.50 - $24.504 OW
Elemental = $2.40 - $29.602 OW
Cocaine Bear = $2.00 - $23.260 OW
Knock at the Cabin = $1.45 - $14.127 OW
65 = $1.225 - $12.328 OW

 

[Gary]

1	-	Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny	$60,000,000	-	4,600	-	$13,043	$60,000,000	1	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
2	1	Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$11,500,000	-39.5%	3,405	-380	$3,377	$339,871,821	5	Columbia Pictures
3	2	Elemental	$11,300,000	-38.7%	3,650	-385	$3,095	$88,778,805	3	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
4	4	No Hard Feelings	$7,500,000	-50%	3,208	-	$2,337	$29,310,952	2	Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
5	5	Transformers: Rise of the Beasts	$7,000,000	-40.4%	2,852	-671	$2,454	$136,110,066	4	Paramount Pictures
6	-	Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken	$5,200,000	-	3,400	-	$1,529	$5,200,000	1	DreamWorks
7	7	The Little Mermaid	$5,150,000	-39.8%	2,430	-845	$2,119	$280,998,328	6	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
8	3	The Flash	$5,000,000	-67%	2,718	-1,538	$1,839	$99,250,938	3	Warner Bros.
9	6	Asteroid City	$3,800,000	-58%	1,901	+226	$1,998	$18,144,710	3	Focus Features
10	8	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3	$1,800,000	-48.1%	1,165	-845	$1,545	$354,875,623	9	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures

16

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Every Body

$145,000

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255

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$568

$145,000

1

Focus Features

 

[HarleyQuinn]

The last 2 weeks have been an absolute slaughter for the box office in general but especially for opening movies...

Elemental is sitting at just $88.778 Million domestically despite a $200 Million budget. The Flash has been an epic bomb ($99.51 Mill domestic), Ruby Gilman looks DOA right out of the gate with an atrocious opening, and Indiana Jones looks like it'll be following The Flash right down the toilet given its bonkers $300 Mill budget + whatever the marketing costs were.

 

[909]

I'm glad about this shit tbh. Movies have gotten too fake looking and too expensive to make. This needed to happen.

 

[Mr. S£im Citrus]

I'm glad about this shit tbh. Movies have gotten too fake looking and too expensive to make. This needed to happen.

What I'd like to know is, those of you who have prayed on the downfall of these movies, what do you think is going to fill that void?

 

[909]

What I'd like to know is, those of you who have prayed on the downfall of these movies, what do you think is going to fill that void?

Movies with more practical effects obviously

 

[909]

They also don't need to send out 80 year old men to revive old IP. It's time to move on and be more creative.

 

[Mr. S£im Citrus]

Movies with more practical effects obviously

Such as?

EDIT - That's a serious question: I legitimately don't watch enough movies to know the difference between whatever kind of effects you hate and "practical effects" are.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

movies that aren't shit?

 

[909]

Such as?

EDIT - That's a serious question: I legitimately don't watch enough movies to know the difference between whatever kind of effects you hate and "practical effects" are.

John Wick 4