The 2024 Box Office thread

[Youth N Asia]

Good hold for Guardians.

Mario won’t die. Super impressive what’s happening with that one. Probably helps that there just isn’t kid stuff out right now.

 

[Mr. S£im Citrus]

Good hold for Guardians.

Mario won’t die. Super impressive what’s happening with that one. Probably helps that there just isn’t kid stuff out right now.

My son took his little sister (different fathers) to see it for her birthday, and then he went to go see it with some of his friends the following week for his birthday. Both of them loved it.

 

[Gary]

1	-	Fast X	$67,500,000	-	4,046	-	$16,683	$67,500,000	1	Universal Pictures
2	1	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3	$31,980,000	-48.4%	4,450	-	$7,186	$266,522,579	3	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
3	2	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$9,800,000	-22.3%	3,540	-260	$2,768	$549,290,720	7	Universal Pictures
4	3	Book Club: The Next Chapter	$3,000,000	-55.1%	3,513	+5	$853	$13,125,220	2	Focus Features
5	4	Evil Dead Rise	$2,375,000	-36.2%	2,173	-648	$1,092	$64,105,752	5	Warner Bros.
6	7	John Wick: Chapter 4	$1,332,000	-36.1%	1,312	-301	$1,015	$185,313,565	9	Lionsgate
7	5	Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret.	$1,326,000	-47.3%	1,668	-697	$794	$18,696,250	4	Lionsgate
8	6	Hypnotic	$825,000	-65.6%	1,733	-385	$476	$4,061,216	2	Ketchup Entertainment
9	8	Love Again	$400,000	-72.4%	1,243	-1,460	$321	$5,900,939	3	Screen Gems
10	10	Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves	$385,000	-51.4%	511	-423	$753	$92,875,289	8	Paramount Pictures
11	14	BlackBerry	$275,000	-44.1%	449	-	$612	-	2	IFC Films
12	-	Master Gardener	$269,200	-	220	-	$1,223	$269,200	1	Magnolia Pictures

20

-

Sanctuary

$65,000

-

5

-

$13,000

$65,000

1

28

-

Moon Garden

$6,110

-

1

-

$6,110

$6,110

1

Oscilloscope

 

[RedJed]

Master Gardener looks intruiging, going to try to peep that sometime soon.

It's a shame Blackberry didn't get into a second gear in distribution, kinda expected more in that manner. Then again it's an IFC film.

John Wick and D&D still in the top ten eh? Impressive numbers!

 

[HarleyQuinn]

The Little Mermaid is sitting at $95.5 Million per The-Numbers ($38, $30, and $27.5 Million) which is slightly under the projected $100 Million opening. BoxOfficeMojo, however, currently has The Little Mermaid making $48.3 Million on Friday which is a pretty big difference. Assuming similar drop percentages as reported by The-Numbers, the 3 Day Box Office Mojo numbers would have it around $124 Million.

 

[Gary]

1	N	The Little Mermaid	Walt Disney	$95,500,000		4,320		$22,106	$95,500,000	1
2	(1)	Fast X	Universal	$23,020,000	-66%	4,088	+42	$5,631	$107,955,000	2
3	(2)	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3	Walt Disney	$19,950,000	-38%	3,940	-510	$5,063	$299,425,817	4
4	(3)	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	Universal	$6,270,000	-35%	3,148	-392	$1,992	$558,882,000	8
5	N	The Machine	Sony Pictures	$4,900,000		2,409		$2,034	$4,900,000	1
6	N	About My Father	Lionsgate	$4,250,000		2,464		$1,725	$4,250,000	1
7	N	Kandahar	Briarcliff E…	$2,410,000		2,105		$1,145	$2,410,000	1
8	N	You Hurt My Feelings	A24	$1,389,158		912		$1,523	$1,389,158	1
9	(5)	Evil Dead Rise	Warner Bros.	$1,052,000	-57%	921	-1,252	$1,142	$66,200,000	6
10	(4)	Book Club: The Next Chapter	Focus Features	$920,000	-69%	1,339	-2,174	$687	$16,131,970	3
11	(6)	John Wick: Chapter 4	Lionsgate	$507,000	-62%	490	-822	$1,035	$186,407,016	10
12	(7)	Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret	Lionsgate	$354,000	-73%	458	-1,210	$773	$19,647,914	5

Box Office Mojo takes forever to update, so had to use this instead.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

I thought it was weird that they released two middle aged comedians’ attempt at a crossover movie in the same weekend. I know Bert Kreischer and Sebastian Maniscalco’s audiences aren’t the same but they’re similar enough.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

That looks like a good opening for the Mermaid, and I’m sure it will continue the momentum to be a smash hit. But it is kind of sad that the four big hits I see on there are either retreads or sequels.

 

[Mickey Massuco]

And I do get the love for franchises, I like a few myself. It would be nice if there were more original blockbusters though.

 

[Brocklock]

I thought it was weird that they released two middle aged comedians’ attempt at a crossover movie in the same weekend. I know Bert Kreischer and Sebastian Maniscalco’s audiences aren’t the same but they’re similar enough.

The Machine actually made more money than I thought it would, but it has a 20 million budget for some reason. At least Mark Hamill was paid handsomely.

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

Apparently there are some elaborate action sequences in it too.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

That looks like a good opening for the Mermaid, and I’m sure it will continue the momentum to be a smash hit. But it is kind of sad that the four big hits I see on there are either retreads or sequels.

I feel like this has kind of become more the realm for animation (look at Elemental and the Teenage Kraken: Ruby Gillman movie coming down the pike).

The Little Mermaid sits at 6th in terms of gross $ regarding the 3 Day Memorial Weekend opening but 19th when adjusted for inflation (behind 2019's Aladdin and 2018's Solo: A Star Wars Story). There is a lot of concern of the Chinese market and how that could really end up hampering TLM's overall box office success.

For reference, 2019's The Lion King made $543.6 Million domestically and 2019's Aladdin made only $355.559 Million domestically. Both were massively boosted by international markets so it will be interesting to see if The Little Mermaid can get even on the lower end just $350 Domestic and $500+ International.

 

[RedJed]

Machine was pretty fun, caught that over the weekend in Vegas. Nice mashup of better action scenes than I figured this would be, and some legit laugh out moments. Not a perfect comedy by any means, but a nice against the grain film that hit a few notes successfully. Hamill was most certainly the best part of the whole thing.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

I saw that The Little Mermaid performed horribly in China (comparatively speaking) finishing in 4th place(!) at around just $2.6 Million at a miserable $80/Theater.

For comparison, Fast X grossed $17.419 Million in 1/3rd of the theaters that TLM was opening in. GOTG 3 took in $5.12 Million in about 2,000 more theaters.

 

[Gary]

1	-	Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$120,500,000	-	4,313	-	$27,938	$120,500,000	1	Columbia Pictures
2	1	The Little Mermaid	$40,600,000	-57.5%	4,320	-	$9,398	$186,207,067	2	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
3	-	The Boogeyman	$12,300,000	-	3,205	-	$3,837	$12,300,000	1	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
4	3	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3	$10,200,000	-51%	3,580	-360	$2,849	$322,711,454	5	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
5	2	Fast X	$9,240,000	-59.9%	3,467	-621	$2,665	$128,465,765	3	Universal Pictures
6	4	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$3,350,000	-47.8%	2,344	-804	$1,429	$566,277,270	9	Universal Pictures
7	6	About My Father	$2,100,000	-51.4%	2,464	-	$852	$8,824,093	2	Lionsgate
8	5	The Machine	$1,750,000	-65%	2,409	-	$726	$8,708,436	2	Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
9	8	You Hurt My Feelings	$769,814	-44.9%	912	-	$844	$3,001,134	2	A24
10	7	Kandahar	$765,000	-67.1%	1,737	-368	$440	$4,236,887	2	Open Road Films (II)

12

-

Past Lives

$232,266

-

4

-

$58,066

$232,266

1

A24

14

-

The Roundup: No Way Out

$200,000

-

41

-

$4,878

$200,000

1

Capelight Pictures

24

-

Falcon Lake

$9,100

-

10

-

$910

$9,100

1

Yellow Veil Pictures

Those are some impressive numbers for "Across the Spider-Verse"

 

[HarleyQuinn]

1	-	Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$120,500,000	-	4,313	-	$27,938	$120,500,000	1	Columbia Pictures
2	1	The Little Mermaid	$40,600,000	-57.5%	4,320	-	$9,398	$186,207,067	2	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
3	-	The Boogeyman	$12,300,000	-	3,205	-	$3,837	$12,300,000	1	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
4	3	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3	$10,200,000	-51%	3,580	-360	$2,849	$322,711,454	5	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
5	2	Fast X	$9,240,000	-59.9%	3,467	-621	$2,665	$128,465,765	3	Universal Pictures
6	4	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$3,350,000	-47.8%	2,344	-804	$1,429	$566,277,270	9	Universal Pictures
7	6	About My Father	$2,100,000	-51.4%	2,464	-	$852	$8,824,093	2	Lionsgate
8	5	The Machine	$1,750,000	-65%	2,409	-	$726	$8,708,436	2	Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
9	8	You Hurt My Feelings	$769,814	-44.9%	912	-	$844	$3,001,134	2	A24
10	7	Kandahar	$765,000	-67.1%	1,737	-368	$440	$4,236,887	2	Open Road Films (II)

12

-

Past Lives

$232,266

-

4

-

$58,066

$232,266

1

A24

14

-

The Roundup: No Way Out

$200,000

-

41

-

$4,878

$200,000

1

Capelight Pictures

24

-

Falcon Lake

$9,100

-

10

-

$910

$9,100

1

Yellow Veil Pictures

Those are some impressive numbers for "Across the Spider-Verse"

I think word of mouth is gonna make it an even bigger movie and its animation style almost forces at least a 2nd viewing although it will have some stiff competition from The Flash when 6/16 comes.

 

[Fall of Epic]

Really curious to see the Flash's numbers in a few weeks. It genuinely looks good but interested to see how the stink of Ezra Miller affects its box office. The studio already backtracked and announced he's attending the premiere after trying to distance away from him.

 

[Gary]

I think word of mouth is gonna make it an even bigger movie and its animation style almost forces at least a 2nd viewing although it will have some stiff competition from The Flash when 6/16 comes.

There's also a new "Transformers" movie next week

 

[HarleyQuinn]

As it had all weekend long, Spider-Man: Across the Universe continued to top itself finishing at a very robust $120,663,589 opening weekend. It opened to $17.3 Million in China, $2.8 Million in India(!), and still has Japan to open to on 6/16.

For context, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse which got incredible word of mouth at the time finished its domestic run with an inflation-adjusted total of $217.794 Million. It ended up with an un-adjusted $61.98 Million in China, $1.665 Million in India, and $8.016 Million in Japan.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Fast X has now topped $500 Million internationally and has an outside shot at finishing above $150 Million domestically.

The Super Mario Bros. Movie is now at $1.3 BILLION worldwide including a crazy $567 Million domestically.

 

[Brocklock]

Fast X needed to make a billion to break even with its massive 340 million budget. 500 million has to be considered a bomb. I imagine they will at least trim the budget significantly for the next one. Releasing it in April rather than in the Summer should help though.

 

[Gary]

1	-	Transformers: Rise of the Beasts	$60,500,000	-	3,678	-	$16,449	$60,500,000	1	Paramount Pictures
2	1	Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse	$55,425,000	-54.1%	4,332	+19	$12,794	$225,445,978	2	Columbia Pictures
3	2	The Little Mermaid	$22,790,000	-44.9%	4,320	-	$5,275	$228,810,339	3	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
4	4	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3	$7,028,000	-34.2%	3,175	-405	$2,213	$335,400,769	6	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
5	3	The Boogeyman	$6,917,000	-44%	3,205	-	$2,158	$24,737,895	2	Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
6	5	Fast X	$5,170,000	-46.1%	2,822	-645	$1,832	$138,097,395	4	Universal Pictures
7	6	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$2,120,000	-37.1%	1,789	-555	$1,185	$570,162,990	10	Universal Pictures
8	7	About My Father	$845,000	-58.9%	960	-1,504	$880	$10,761,809	3	Lionsgate
9	8	The Machine	$575,000	-66.6%	1,008	-1,401	$570	$10,095,764	3	Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
10	12	Past Lives	$520,772	+124.2%	26	+22	$20,029	$867,096	2	A24

12

-

Mending the Line

$225,659

-

403

-

$559

$225,659

1

Blue Fox Entertainment

18

-

The Angry Black Girl and Her Monster

$50,000

-

56

-

$892

$50,000

1

-

24	-	Squaring the Circle (The Story of Hipgnosis)	$10,011	-	1	-	$10,011	$10,011	1	Utopia
25	-	Scarlet	$8,176	-	2	-	$4,088	$8,176	1	Kino Lorber

"Transformers" did what was expected (though it's been getting better reviews than the Bay sequels-not saying much, and the reception is mixed). I wanna see "The Angry Black Girl and Her Monster".

Next week should be interesting, with "The Flash" and "Elemental" being released.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Interesting to note that Transformers actually finished behind Spider-Man on Saturday & Sunday according to The-Numbers. Obviously not finalized totals but interesting still.

Friday = $25.65 Million to Spider-Man's $16.775
Saturday = $19.35 Million to Spider-Man's $21.225
Sunday = $15.50 Million to Spider-Man's $17.425

 

[Brocklock]

The Flash might end up having a very underwhelming opening. It's tracking for an opening under 60 million in some places. The reviews are kind of middling too. I thought all that "best superhero movie ever" hype from that screening was manufactured.

Elemental is also only tracking for 30 to 35m which is so weak compared to how Pixar movies used to do.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

If Captain America next year doesn't do well then there needs to be some real re-thinking about how capeshit is being done currently. It's not ever going to "go away" but both companies will need to re-think the pace they are putting out movies and what has made them successful in the past. It might be time to take a step back and concentrate on other kinds of comic book movies from Marvel/DC while building up anticipation for bringing back Avengers/Xmen and Superman/Batman/WonderWoman/Etc. The good thing about comics is there's so many different kinds they can dig into.

 

[RedJed]

So not finding any OAO Transformers thread, so just would put a few things about the new Rise of the Beasts film that I finally saw last night in IMAX 3D.

It feels like this franchise is at least on a much more better course than it was years ago with Dark of the Mood/Age of Extinction/Last Knight. I thought Bumblebee was by far the best TF film of them all and this was a very solid followup to that one. I would probably put it third behind BB, and then the first TF film. As is standard with these films, the comedic tones were still there, but similarily to BB it wasn't too heavy handed at least. I got kinda annoyed at the comedy stuff with Pete Davidson though. Effects-wise, the 3D really popped in the major fight scenes and they really keep raising the bar in that aspect.

The real big oh shit out of this one was in the last scene before credits hit....

Spoiler

They are finally moving forward with a GI Joe/Transformers crossover and ultimately, setting off an official Hasbro Cinematic Universe. The main human protagonist in this film (who somehow uses one of the autobots exterior as a sort of Ironman outfit at the end, not sure how they are going to explain that but oh well) ends up being recruited by the organization following the big blowout finale. It's not clear if there will be a new GI Joe movie with the main guy from this film, or if they will instead do another Transformers film with more GI Joe stuff placed within it, or if we don't waste any time and get right into a balanced film with both properties, but it sure seems like things are being attempted to move forward on the concept. How this connects to Snake Eyes from 2021 is up to debate. It may have no connection whatsoever.

 

[cobainwasmurdered]

Spoiler

unless this leads to Rock, Cena, Optimus and Megatron all sharing the same screen I'll be insanely let down.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

If Captain America next year doesn't do well then there needs to be some real re-thinking about how capeshit is being done currently. It's not ever going to "go away" but both companies will need to re-think the pace they are putting out movies and what has made them successful in the past. It might be time to take a step back and concentrate on other kinds of comic book movies from Marvel/DC while building up anticipation for bringing back Avengers/Xmen and Superman/Batman/WonderWoman/Etc. The good thing about comics is there's so many different kinds they can dig into.

A lot of the issues as well are the budgets and CGI being devoted to those kinds of movies forcing them to be extraordinarily hard to get a real profit out of if the movie doesn't exceed a specific price threshold right out of the gate. Compare them to something like a Scream VI at $35 Million or Creed III at even $75 Million where there's a bit more cushion if it underperforms but also more growth if it overperforms.

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever = $250 Million
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantum Mania = $200 Million
Black Widow = $200 Million
Doctor Strange: In the Multiverse of Madness = $200 Million
Eternals = $200 Million
Spider-Man: No Way Home = $200 Million
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings = $150 Million
Shazam! Fury of the Gods = $125 Million
Venom: Let There Be Carnage = $110 Million

It's easier to get fatigued when companies are throwing $125+ Million at movies + whatever the high advertising costs are, ensuring they need usually make around $400 or $500 Million worldwide to get around the breakeven price. I feel like they rode the superhero gravy train and are coming to a realization that making $650+ Million worldwide is not as easy as they thought it was and it won't carry over to every single franchise.

 

[Brocklock]

https://deadline.com/2023/06/box-office-the-flash-bomb-elemental-1235419478/

Yep, The Flash is in the 58-60 million range. The budget is 220 million and I heard there might have been another 100 million or more spent on post production. I'm actually a little surprised at this being a flop. I wonder if they would've gotten Bale instead of Keaton if it would've made a difference. Millenials and Gen Z don't care about Keaton Batman.

Also, Blue Beetle is fucked. I could see it doing worse than Shazam 2.

I guess Transformers is heading towards a 70% drop as well. And Elemental only made 11 million on Friday and is set to be Pixar's lowest opening weekend. Aside from Guardians and Spider-Verse, nothing has done well this summer. I imagine Mission Impossible will do great business, but it's going to be interesting to see what Oppenheimer and Barbie do and if they can get this summer out of the doldrums.

 

[Gary]

If Captain America next year doesn't do well then there needs to be some real re-thinking about how capeshit is being done currently. It's not ever going to "go away" but both companies will need to re-think the pace they are putting out movies and what has made them successful in the past. It might be time to take a step back and concentrate on other kinds of comic book movies from Marvel/DC while building up anticipation for bringing back Avengers/Xmen and Superman/Batman/WonderWoman/Etc. The good thing about comics is there's so many different kinds they can dig into.

It doesn't help that it's becoming increasingly obvious to see which ones feel like they are made by people who really do care about the movie at hand ("Guardians 3" and "Across the Spiderverse") and which ones feel more like a corporate mandate (this movie, "Quantumania"). "The Flash" (which looks dreadful IMO) in particular seems guilty of this-everything I've read about and seen of this movie looks like it was made by AI.