Chat! culturecrossfire.slack.com
2024 Election
- Thread starter Fall of Epic
- Start date
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
If you can find non Popular vote polls that provide you the confidence in a D victory, please share.
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
Poorly worded way of saying she'll lead nationally and lose via swingers
- Messages
- 22,668
- Reaction score
- 2,150
- Points
- 313
For context Biden won Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Georgia.
Biden eked out Arizona & Georgia & Pennsylvania & Wisconsin but won Colorado handily, won Michigan by almost 4%, won Minnesota by 7%, Nevada by 3%, won New Hampshire fairly handily, and Virginia by almost 10%.
Trump barely won NC by 1.3% and won Florida by 2%.
I could see Arizona & Georgia going back to Trump but all Kamala needs to do is win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and take NC while keeping the momentum in the states that Biden won by a decent margin. Give Trump North Carolina even and Kamala still wins with 276. Give Trump PA instead and Kamala wins with 273.
2024 Presidential Election Polls: Harris vs. Trump - 270toWin
View the results of 2024 election polls.
www.270towin.com
She's up in Arizona, Michigan, PA, Wisconsin. Trump is ahead in Georgia by .8, ahead in NC by 1 percent.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
She wins the electoral college 58% of the time currently
Gert
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 4,595
- Reaction score
- 400
- Points
- 168
I hope the way Georgia turned out for the Senate seats and the runoffs last cycle, makes its possible for Harris to win Georgia, but voting for a black woman is still different than a black man and white man, with one running against a woman.
I think NC does go Harris since a Democratic Governor almost certainly goes through.
I think NC does go Harris since a Democratic Governor almost certainly goes through.
snuffbox
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 9,986
- Reaction score
- 1,386
- Points
- 218
Trump grovelled so Kemp went back to patting his toupee; he might get Georgia back.
Many factors suggest Harris will keep Arizona. North Carolina and even Florida being in play is not a good sign for the GOP.
What totally legit state polls are you looking at, Brody?
Many factors suggest Harris will keep Arizona. North Carolina and even Florida being in play is not a good sign for the GOP.
What totally legit state polls are you looking at, Brody?
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump: Five closest races outlined in forecast
Five of the key swing states in this year's election are all set to be close races, per FiveThirtyEight.
www.newsweek.com
Harris with razor thin leads before the RFK nutters slide towards Trump.
Wild cards with the debates and Trump's sentencing yet to come.
CNN anchor calls RFK Jr. endorsing Trump 'huge' based on swing state polls: 'It is everything'
CNN's Erin Burnett told viewers that Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s endorsement of former President Trump could have a "huge" impact in the election against Vice President Kamala Harris.
Pick your headline of choice to match your feels
Plus Harris will enjoy an expected 2-3% bump for a few days before the DNC stuff wears off.
---
I spent today in rural Manitowoc county, where if yard signs are votes, Trump is going to win with 100 percent of the vote.
CNN has been a right wing shill for the last couple of years, because of owner mandates. Absolutely no one has any idea how RFK's voters are going to split and anyone saying otherwise is lying. Some of them will go to Trump, some will go to Kamala, some will go to third parties, and some will just not vote. There is no way to know how it will break down.
Trump has tiny leads in many states, including states that he should have locked up. The swing states are trending positive. She's been in the race a month. She's raised more money already than Biden did in more than 4 years.
I don't believe she's going to win for certain but I think she has a far better chance of winning than Biden did at similar points in the race.
Trump has tiny leads in many states, including states that he should have locked up. The swing states are trending positive. She's been in the race a month. She's raised more money already than Biden did in more than 4 years.
I don't believe she's going to win for certain but I think she has a far better chance of winning than Biden did at similar points in the race.
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
I didn't have the Super70sSports guy doing Republican talks points on my bingo card for the week.
Incandenza
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 8,713
- Reaction score
- 737
- Points
- 218
I clocked the Super 70s sports guy as low-key crypto-fascist awhile ago
Looks like a fat Bryan Danielson
snuffbox
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 9,986
- Reaction score
- 1,386
- Points
- 218
Trump is gaining in dumb online people who don't vote like the loser above but continues to fall behind with, you know, voters.
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
Mickey Massuco
wipeoff
Holy shit he does
Big Papa Paegan
L. A. Z.
CATTLE FLAGELLATION?!
BruiserBrody
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 31,171
- Reaction score
- 3,260
- Points
- 293
RFK Jr signed up to be on the Kentucky ballot monday as apparently he is only running in non swing states, a fact I did not hear until mins ago.
Spaceman Spiff
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 5,791
- Reaction score
- 340
- Points
- 188
Seems like the debate sticking point is whether or not the candidates' mics should be muted or not when their speaking time is up. Harris team doesn't want them muted while the Trump team does.
Gary
Mind. Body. Light. Sound.
You hate to see it (no really, you do)
Gary
Mind. Body. Light. Sound.
Honestly wanna meet the Harris supporters who think Biden stole the election.
snuffbox
Integral Poster
- Messages
- 9,986
- Reaction score
- 1,386
- Points
- 218
‘She Can Go To Hell!’ JD Vance Drops Wild Attack On Kamala Harris
“Yeah, I mean, the level of disrespect must not be overlooked. The normalization of this kind of coarse rhetoric, is itself problematic," said Michael Eric Dyson
www.mediaite.com
Ya don't need to try so hard to lock up the Knoxville, TN vote, bah gawd
"I caved on every single demand"
- Messages
- 7,175
- Reaction score
- 1,553
- Points
- 228
I love polls for this reason. One of my favorites I've seen was that the percentage of Obama voters in 2012 who also thought he was the antichrist was like 3%
Yeah I always wish there was followup questions for these people.