The 2024 Box Office thread

[HarleyQuinn]

Migration looks like it will follow the path of Elemental and have sustainable legs despite a lighter-than-expected opening. I think it may be the future of animated films (outside of the big names) where word of mouth will largely decide if they do well in the long term or not as most folks wait a week or two for the reviews.

 

[Brocklock]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1743029816599961698

Birds Of Prey deserved better. That's probably in my top 5 or 6 superhero movies of the decade so far.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1743029816599961698

Birds Of Prey deserved better. That's probably in my top 5 or 6 superhero movies of the decade so far.

Minor quibble but what's ignored in that quote is adjusted for inflation, BOP made $10 Million more ($94.17 Million) than The Marvels did. I agree that it deserved better at the time but even as a big HQ fan, she was becoming an overused character at that point in time.

 

[Brocklock]

Anyone But You is still having fantastic daily holds. It's making more than Aquaman 2 now daily and is right on Migration's heels.

Everyone is giving Sydney Sweeney the credit for ABY being a minor surprise hit, but I think Glen Powell is becoming a draw as well. People loved him in Top Gun: Maverick and I heard he's better than Sweeney in the movie.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Anyone But You is still having fantastic daily holds. It's making more than Aquaman 2 now daily and is right on Migration's heels.

Everyone is giving Sydney Sweeney the credit for ABY being a minor surprise hit, but I think Glen Powell is becoming a draw as well. People loved him in Top Gun: Maverick and I heard he's better than Sweeney in the movie.

It also shows the importance of theater counts for these smaller successful movies too. If it had the same number of theaters as Aquaman, it would've netted another $476K on Thursday (assuming the per theater $$ stayed the same).

The Color Purple seems to be plummeting off a hot Christmas Day release. Whoever thought to release it on Christmas Day lucked out because those first 2 days are around 50% of its current box office domestic total. Wonder what it would've actually done with more competition on the weekend though.

Wonka and Migration are both surging with the latter almost hitting its $72 Million budget domestically. The former has now passed $150 Million domestic and $400 Million worldwide.

 

[Brocklock]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1743678749433016535

Damn, The Color Purple has fallen below The Iron Claw. I think A24 should've given The Iron Claw the festival treatment, and then it might've got more award buzz than it's currently getting. It's really resonating with non wrestling fans that don't know the Von Erich story. I think the Actor and Supporting Actor races are too stacked for Efron or Holt McCallany to sneak in, but they might of got in with a festival run.

Also, Anyone But You has passed up Migration. I'm not a big fan of the genre, but I'm glad a RomCom is doing really well.

Night Swim did fine I guess. Idk the budget. Looks really lame and Kerry Condon/Wyatt Russell are better than this.

 

[Hawk 34]

Still searching for an actual living person who saw The Boys in the Boat and I’ve asked my parents and their community isn’t watching this either.

Haven’t heard anyone even acknowledge this movie and it has actual names involved.

I kinda missed the days of a movie quietly making 30+ million and no one acknowledges its existence.

 

[Gary]

New year, new numbers.

1	1	Wonka	$14,430,000	-35.8%	3,817	-234	$3,780	$164,654,302	4	Warner Bros.
2	-	Night Swim	$12,000,000	-	3,250	-	$3,692	$12,000,000	1	Universal Pictures International (UPI)
3	2	Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom	$10,610,000	-41.9%	3,553	-234	$2,986	$100,021,279	3	Warner Bros.
4	3	Migration	$10,250,000	-39.7%	3,712	-127	$2,761	$77,820,135	3	Universal Pictures
5	5	Anyone But You	$9,500,000	+8.5%	3,055	-	$3,109	$43,713,644	3	Columbia Pictures
6	6	The Boys in the Boat	$6,020,991	-28.3%	2,687	+130	$2,240	$33,903,373	2	-
7	4	The Color Purple	$4,765,000	-59.4%	3,218	+15	$1,480	$54,621,433	2	Warner Bros.
8	7	The Iron Claw	$3,979,468	-14.4%	2,392	-402	$1,663	$24,336,609	3	A24
9	8	Ferrari	$2,505,000	-36.1%	2,121	-265	$1,181	$16,005,459	2	Neon
10	12	Poor Things	$2,000,000	-11.7%	750	-50	$2,666	$14,227,242	5	Searchlight Pictures
11	9	The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes	$1,835,000	-36.1%	1,428	-232	$1,285	$163,836,572	8	Lions Gate Films
12	11	Godzilla Minus One	$1,725,000	-24.3%	-	-	-	$49,165,843	6	-
13	10	The Boy and the Heron	$1,721,819	-27.7%	910	-30	$1,892	$39,607,451	5	GKIDS
14	13	Trolls Band Together	$1,210,000	-38.3%	1,137	-380	$1,064	$100,420,335	8	Universal Pictures
15	19	American Fiction	$1,008,860	+145.7%	114	+74	$8,849	$2,978,867	4	Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM)

"The Iron Claw" "Ferrari" and "Poor Things" holding up there in the more indie/art-house side, and "Wonka" is likely going to be the biggest hit as far as releases from last December are concerned. Good to see "Godzilla Minus One" and "Boy and the Heron" are still making money.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Solid opening for "Night Swim" considering it probably has the usual low budget of those types of horror movies between $10-$20 Million.

People forget but as much as 2018's "Truth or Dare" was panned, it had a $3.5 Million budget and made $41.4 Million domestically alone. These kinds of low-budget horror movies are largely an easy way to print profitable money for studios (especially if they catch fire ala M3gan or Smile) that IMO helps finance the bigger "Oscar" movie properties. If I was running a movie studio, I'd be trying to lock in 1-3 horror movies a year in that vein precisely for the profit.

"Migration" also continues to hold its own, topping $150 Million worldwide and getting closer to a 2.5 break-even number.

 

[Brocklock]

Aquaman 2 is doing great numbers Internationally and has crossed 300 million worldwide. It seems like it will definitely cross 400 million. Momoa is turning into a worldwide draw it seems like. They definitely need to keep him in the DCU.

This run reminds me of Fast X. Where the domestic numbers aren't impressive, but international carries it. The Meg 2 was similar.

 

[Gary]

Aquaman 2 is doing great numbers Internationally and has crossed 300 million worldwide. It seems like it will definitely cross 400 million. Momoa is turning into a worldwide draw it seems like. They definitely need to keep him in the DCU.

This run reminds me of Fast X. Where the domestic numbers aren't impressive, but international carries it. The Meg 2 was similar.

"The Meg" movies are Chinese co-productions, so I think it's obvious we'll be getting another one.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Interesting article given the recent international talk...

Big in China: The Global Market for Hollywood Movies

Hollywood’s relationship with the Chinese market—and its gatekeepers, Chinese government censors—is changing the way movies are made and promoted.

world101.cfr.org

"In 1991, Hollywood’s biggest studios made about 30 percent of their box office internationally. By 2016, that percentage had doubled.

But by 2012, the two countries had resolved their differences and reached an agreement that established a new quota, or allowance, of thirty-four foreign films per year and set concrete guidelines for coproduction."

Box office income dipped from a domestic percentage of 55% in the early 2000s to 48-50% in the mid-200s and was down to 37-40% by the late 2010s.

It's worth highlighting that GOTG Volume 3 made $86.9 Million in China but Fast X made $135.1 Million and Meg 2: The Trench made $116.7 Million. Barbie made $34.4 Million compared to Transformers: Rise of the Beasts which made $89.7 Million. The latter movie also outdid Oppenheimer's $63.1 Million.

A large reason that movies like "The Little Mermaid", "Indiana Jones & The Dial of Destiny" and "The Flash" all flopped was because they barely topped $3 Million in the former 2 cases or barely topped $25 Million in Flash's case in China.

Give those 3 movies even just $70 Million in China and their totals jump to $638 Million, $451 Million, and $336 Million worldwide respectively. Not a major difference but that would've helped TLM hit break even. You give Oppenheimer just $110 Million in China and suddenly it's a billion-dollar movie worldwide.

 

[Brocklock]

Anyone But You has been the number 1 movie on both Monday and Tuesday. Just a great run from it. I wonder if it reaches 70-80 domestic. 100 million seems too steep, but maybe it gets there. There were box office prediction sites saying it would do 10 million total.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Anyone But You has been the number 1 movie on both Monday and Tuesday. Just a great run from it. I wonder if it reaches 70-80 domestic. 100 million seems too steep, but maybe it gets there. There were box office prediction sites saying it would do 10 million total.

It's gotten a solid IMDB score (6.6/10) with an 87% favorable audience score on RT despite mixed critical reception.

I think word of mouth has definitely helped it out and it's also a great alternative to the majority of featured movies so there's little in the way of pure competition.

 

[Hawk 34]

We as a society desperately need our movies to return to the act of pumping out movies featuring exclusively gorgeous people being put in forced romantic situations.

 

[Fall of Epic]

If Sydney Sweeney bares all then I'll buy 20 tickets.

 

[Gary]

1	N	Mean Girls	Paramount Pi…	$28,000,000		3,791		$7,386	$28,000,000	1
2	N	The Beekeeper	MGM	$16,789,000		3,303		$5,083	$16,789,000	1
3	(1)	Wonka	Warner Bros.	$8,380,000	-40%	3,346	-471	$2,504	$176,194,000	5
4	(5)	Anyone But You	Sony Pictures	$6,940,000	-29%	2,935	-120	$2,365	$55,179,000	4
5	(4)	Migration	Universal	$6,190,000	-38%	3,224	-488	$1,920	$85,756,000	4
6	(3)	Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom	Warner Bros.	$5,265,000	-50%	2,741	-812	$1,921	$108,228,000	4
7	(2)	Night Swim	Universal	$4,660,000	-60%	3,257	+7	$1,431	$19,170,000	2
8	N	Guntur Kaaram	Prathyangira…	$4,100,000		800		$5,125	$4,100,000	1
9	(6)	The Boys in the Boat	MGM	$3,524,897	-37%	2,007	-680	$1,756	$39,356,000	3
10	N	The Book of Clarence	Sony Pictures	$2,575,000		2,010		$1,281	$2,575,000	1
11	(8)	The Iron Claw	A24	$2,400,878	-47%	1,591	-801	$1,509	$29,178,125	4
12	(15)	American Fiction	MGM	$1,906,000	+93%	625	+511	$3,050	$5,221,205	5
-	(7)	The Color Purple	Warner Bros.	$1,900,000	-59%	1,178	-2,040	$1,613	$57,850,000	3
-	(10)	Poor Things	Searchlight …	$1,807,000	-8%	580	-170	$3,116	$17,330,307	6
-	(12)	The Boy and the Heron	GKIDS	$1,099,247	-40%	610	-300	$1,802	$41,687,518	6

N

Soul

Walt Disney

$429,000

1,350

$318

$429,000

1

-

N

Inshallah a Boy

Greenwich

$6,000

1

$6,000

$6,000

1

 

[Brocklock]

The Beekeeper did way better than I'm expecting. Looks like fun trash in the trailers, but I read it's a decent John Wick knockoff. Statham does seem like kind of a draw these days, but I don't think anyone could've saved Expend4bles except maybe Dwayne Johnson.

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Will be interesting to see how Mean Girls does in the coming weeks. I saw a lot of backlash at people not suspecting it of being a musical after seeing a trailer and going in thinking it was a straight remake. The trailer I saw only featured the Christmas performance, which was in the original, so I thought it was a straight remake until reading about it being a musical afterward.

Godzilla Minus One has passed the $50 Million domestic mark, which is bonkers in a great way. The Boy and the Heron is closing in on $45 Million domestically too. For comparison, Suzume made just under $11 Million in 2023.

 

[Youth N Asia]

I expected Anyone But You to just eat shit at the box office. That trailer looked real bad. But it seems like movies like this just don’t really come out much anymore. So maybe there’s an unserviced market.

And maybe it’s good. Why knows.

 

[Brocklock]

I thought so too. Sydney Sweeney seems like she's starting to become a draw. Let's see if the Madame Web advertising pushes her to the forefront, and if it can help that movie in anyway. I don't know if Glen Powell is a draw yet, but people seem to really like him as well.

And, this was smart counterprogramming to the blockbusters. I thought a Christmas release date seemed weird, but it was brilliant move.

 

[Gary]

I thought so too. Sydney Sweeney seems like she's starting to become a draw. Let's see if the Madame Web advertising pushes her to the forefront, and if it can help that movie in anyway. I don't know if Glen Powell is a draw yet, but people seem to really like him as well.

And, this was smart counterprogramming to the blockbusters. I thought a Christmas release date seemed weird, but it was brilliant move.

I'm just glad some mid budget movies are finally doing alright in the box office. It's just nice to return to some simplicity after years of endless blockbusters and sequels.

 

[Hawk 34]

Damn for Book of Clarence. Not sure the market that was there for it but that’s a rough showing and I hope it doesn’t prevent more leading roles for Lakeith.

 

[Brocklock]

He had The Haunted Mansion recently as well. I hope he doesn't get the stupid "Box Office Poison" label. I think he's too talented though and can just do indie films and smaller stuff.

 

[Gary]

1	1	Mean Girls	$11,700,367	-59.1%	3,826	+35	$3,058	$50,049,000	2	Paramount Pictures
2	2	The Beekeeper	$8,481,525	-48.8%	3,330	+27	$2,547	$31,135,088	2	-
3	3	Wonka	$6,440,262	-23.9%	3,136	-210	$2,053	$187,168,000	6	Warner Bros.
4	4	Anyone But You	$5,400,000	-24.2%	2,928	-7	$1,844	$64,221,578	5	Columbia Pictures
5	5	Migration	$5,300,000	-15%	3,094	-130	$1,712	$94,672,435	5	Universal Pictures
6	6	Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom	$3,655,284	-30.4%	2,423	-318	$1,508	$114,190,000	5	Warner Bros.
7	-	I.S.S.	$3,022,868	-	2,518	-	$1,200	$3,022,868	1	Bleecker Street Media
8	7	Night Swim	$2,700,000	-41.8%	2,708	-549	$997	$23,754,140	3	Universal Pictures International (UPI)
9	8	The Boys in the Boat	$2,534,977	-26.2%	2,012	+5	$1,259	$43,862,384	4	-
10	13	Poor Things	$2,043,000	+14.2%	1,400	+820	$1,459	$20,396,304	7	Searchlight Pictures
11	11	American Fiction	$1,800,344	-5.5%	850	+225	$2,118	$8,004,003	6	Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM)
12	10	The Iron Claw	$1,624,066	-32.4%	1,321	-270	$1,229	$31,547,709	5	A24
13	9	The Book of Clarence	$1,100,000	-57%	2,010	-	$547	$4,672,549	2	Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
14	-	Origin	$875,000	-	125	-	$7,000	$992,063	1	-

26

-

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 2024 Re-release

$150,000

-

466

-

$321

$150,000

1

Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)

33

-

Inside the Yellow Cocoon Shell

$12,609

-

2

-

$6,304

$12,609

1

Kino Lorber

35

-

Pasang: In the Shadow of Everest

$4,500

-

2

-

$2,250

$4,500

1

Slice of Pie

 

[Hawk 34]

Folks. My parents finally saw Boys in the Boat. There’s proof this movie actually exists.

My mother’s review “it was good. They burnt the popcorn so your dad wasn’t happy”

 

[HarleyQuinn]

Anyone But You has now officially topped $100 Million worldwide. Migration is pulling its own Elemental and is zeroing in on $200 Million worldwide (just $9 Million shy).

Disappointing opening for I.S.S. as I thought it looked like an interesting thriller yet it couldn't even crack the top 5. Poor Things is following The Favourite blueprint and gained more theaters (+820) ahead of its probable Oscar award nominations.

The Book of Clarence just looks dead on arrival. Maybe it'll find more success on the streaming side.

 

[Mr. S£im Citrus]

It's borderline hilarious to me how you guys will create a thread for the new year, and then immediately forget about it.

 

[BUTT]

They're still updating "News That Doesn't Warrant a Thread 2017-2018" and "WRASSLIN' and Sports Entertainment Images and Videos 2021!!!"

 

[Cackling Co Pilot Kamala]

As long as we have monthly NBA and AEW threads, we will all be good.